On Friday, 11 June, Europe’s men’s football teams started the European Championship – a year later than planned. The favourite this time is France with a probability of winning of 14.8 per cent.
This is what an international team of researchers consisting of Andreas Groll and Franziska Popp (both TU Dortmund, Germany), Gunther Schauberger (TU Munich, Germany), Christophe Ley and Hans Van Eetvelde (both Ghent University, Belgium), Achim Zeileis (University of Innsbruck, Austria) and Lars Hvattum (Molde University College, Norway) has shown with the help of machine learning.
Their forecast combines several statistical models for the teams’ strengths with information about the team structure (such as market value, number of Champions League players, club match performance of individual players) as well as socio-economic factors of the country of origin (population and gross domestic product). [Read more…] about UEFA Euro forecast: France will be European Champion